Language:English
Cruz Azul v Atlante FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 68.56%1.46fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -6.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.32%68.62%68.44%72.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.341.331.4281.30%74.81%74.91%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlante FC (Visit)
Prediction 11.95%8.37fair odd
EV +13.56%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.216%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.81%11.97%11.87%14.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.978.009.5016.67%12.55%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.48%5.13fair odd
EV +4.05%
Edge +0.758%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 5.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.61%19.41%19.69%21.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.824.805.3425.00%20.73%20.83%18.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 68.56%; Atlante FC (Visit): 11.95%; Draw: 19.48%. For Atlante FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.37. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 02:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 02:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -11.56%E -8.96%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.01%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.06%EV +12.97%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 02:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.78%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.627%E -0.123%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -13.61%E -10.80%K -52.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.14%EV -11.54%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV +2.30%E +0.437%K +0.540%G +0.012% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 02:47 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.65%EV -15.67%E -12.74%K -68.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.29%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -1.38%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.16%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 8.13I 12.30%NM 11.82%EV -2.81%E -0.346%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 02:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 02:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.76%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -7.36%E -0.949%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.29%EV -8.91%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.88%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -9.15%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -8.13%E -6.07%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.28%EV -10.94%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.14%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -13.33%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.82%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.27%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.26%EV -17.52%E -2.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.32%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -27.08%E -4.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -18.16%E -4.32%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 02:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -28.28%E -4.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.69% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |