Cruz Azul v Atlante FC

2026-08-02 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

70%

11%

18%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prediction 70.34%1.42fair odd

EV -5.04%

Edge -3.73%

Kelly -14.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.62%70.38%70.18%72.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.281.321.311.3578%76%76%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlante FC (Visit)

Prediction 11.46%8.72fair odd

EV +3.16%

Edge +0.351%

Kelly +0.395%

Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.52%11.52%11.53%13.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.507.898.009.0015%13%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.19%5.50fair odd

EV +0.070%

Edge +0.013%

Kelly +0.016%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.99%18.11%18.28%19.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.605.054.955.5022%20%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -7.85%E -5.99%K -25.32%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +3.16%E +0.351%K +0.395%G +0.012%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +0.070%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-20 19:35
Coolbet	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV +0.291%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -4.48%E -0.853%K -1.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-20 19:35
SportsBet	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.60%EV -7.85%E -5.99%K -25.32%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -2.57%E -0.303%K -0.343%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-20 19:35
1xBet	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%	8.10I 12.35%NM 11.50%EV -7.16%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -10.85%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-21 09:20
Marathon Bet	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.52%G +0.000%	8.10I 12.35%NM 11.44%EV -7.16%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -10.85%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-21 09:20
FanDuel	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.85%E -5.99%K -25.32%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -8.31%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +0.070%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-20 19:34
Paddy Power	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.26%E -7.18%K -31.92%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.31%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-20 19:32
Betsson	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%	7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.45%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -9.94%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-21 09:20
NordicBet	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%	7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -9.45%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -9.94%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-21 09:20
LeoVegas	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -8.55%E -6.58%K -28.51%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -19.77%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.13%EV -9.94%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-20 19:35
Betclic (FR)	1.28I 78.13%NM 68.73%EV -9.96%E -7.78%K -35.57%G +0.000%	6.90I 14.49%NM 12.75%EV -20.91%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.52%EV -13.58%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-07-20 19:33
Sky Bet	1.29I 77.52%NM 67.62%EV -9.26%E -7.18%K -31.92%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.42%EV -25.50%E -3.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 18.96%EV -16.31%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%	14.6%	2026-07-20 19:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.