La scuola delle quote

Cruz Azul v Atlante FC

2026-08-02 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

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19 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruz Azul (Casa)

Previsione 69.24%1.44quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -7.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.81%69.03%69.67%70.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.341.331.4077.52%74.77%75.19%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlante FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.88%8.42quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.171%
Kelly -0.194%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.21%11.84%11.79%13.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.717.908.3016.00%12.96%12.66%12.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.88%5.30quota equa
EV +0.060%
Vantaggio +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.52%19.13%18.53%21.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.254.824.855.3023.53%20.73%20.62%18.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -9.29%E -7.09%K -29.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +0.060%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 03:25
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV -2.01%E -0.244%K -0.278%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.884%E -0.168%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 03:30
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.91%E -5.94%K -23.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.884%E -0.168%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 03:30
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.91%E -5.94%K -23.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 05:35
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.91%E -5.94%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 03:13
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.91%E -5.94%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 03:13
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.91%E -5.94%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 03:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.98%E -7.68%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 03:30
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -7.91%E -5.94%K -23.96%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.66%EV -14.48%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.80%EV -8.44%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 03:04
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.26%EV -10.68%E -8.28%K -36.81%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -13.89%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -8.44%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 05:03
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.05%EV -8.60%E -6.51%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -7.95%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -10.32%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 02:42
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.61%EV -3.06%E -2.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.91%EV -5.58%E -0.701%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.49%EV -12.78%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 04:30
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.97%EV -5.14%E -3.75%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.79%EV -6.17%E -0.781%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.16%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 03:20
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.13%EV -5.83%E -4.29%K -16.19%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -6.17%E -0.781%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -13.16%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 03:15
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -9.98%E -7.68%K -33.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.16%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 03:19
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.81%EV -9.98%E -7.68%K -33.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.90%EV -25.77%E -4.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 03:30
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -1.42%E -0.171%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.76%E -4.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 08:35
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -1.42%E -0.171%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.76%E -4.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 08:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 67.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.34%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.41%17.1%2026-07-25 05:05