Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cruz Azul v Atlante FC

Inizio: 2026-08-02 03:00 UTC

Finale: Cruz Azul 2–3 Atlante FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cruz Azul (Casa)

Previsione 68.56%1.46quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -6.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.32%68.62%68.44%72.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.231.341.331.4281.30%74.81%74.91%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Atlante FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.95%8.37quota equa
EV +13.56%
Vantaggio +1.43%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescita +0.216%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.81%11.97%11.87%14.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.978.009.5016.67%12.55%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.48%5.13quota equa
EV +4.05%
Vantaggio +0.758%
Kelly +0.933%
Crescita +0.038%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.61%19.41%19.69%21.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.824.805.3425.00%20.73%20.83%18.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cruz Azul (Casa): 68.56%; Atlante FC (Trasferta): 11.95%; Pareggio: 19.48%. Per Atlante FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.37. 19 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +13.56%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%5.2%2026-08-02 02:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%5.2%2026-08-02 02:44
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -11.56%E -8.96%K -39.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:45
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.01%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.06%EV +12.97%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%5.2%2026-08-02 02:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.78%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.627%E -0.123%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 02:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -13.61%E -10.80%K -52.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038%3.5%2026-08-02 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038%3.5%2026-08-02 02:50
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.14%EV -11.54%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 02:55
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV +2.30%E +0.437%K +0.540%G +0.012%6.6%2026-08-02 02:47
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.65%EV -15.67%E -12.74%K -68.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 02:50
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.29%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -1.38%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 02:55
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.16%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.82%EV -2.81%E -0.346%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 02:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 02:55
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 02:53
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%7.1%2026-08-02 02:40
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 02:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 02:54
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 02:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.76%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 02:45
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -7.36%E -0.949%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 02:55
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.29%EV -8.91%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.88%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 02:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -9.15%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 02:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 02:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 02:55
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 02:54
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -8.13%E -6.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.28%EV -10.94%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 02:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.14%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -13.33%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.82%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 02:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 02:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.27%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.26%EV -17.52%E -2.54%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 02:55
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.32%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 02:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -27.08%E -4.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -18.16%E -4.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 02:51
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -28.28%E -4.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 02:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-08-02 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-02 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-02 02:55
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85%0.9%2026-08-02 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-08-02 02:55
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%2.5%2026-08-02 02:50