Idioma:Español
Cruz Azul v Atlante FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 68.56%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -6.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.32%68.62%68.44%72.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.341.331.4281.30%74.81%74.91%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlante FC (Visitante)
Predicción 11.95%8.37momio equitativo
EV +13.56%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.216%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.81%11.97%11.87%14.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.978.009.5016.67%12.55%12.50%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.48%5.13momio equitativo
EV +4.05%
Ventaja +0.758%
Kelly +0.933%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.61%19.41%19.69%21.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.824.805.3425.00%20.73%20.83%18.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cruz Azul (Local): 68.56%; Atlante FC (Visitante): 11.95%; Empate: 19.48%. Para Atlante FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.37. 19 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.56%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 02:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 02:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -11.56%E -8.96%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.01%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.06%EV +12.97%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 02:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.78%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.627%E -0.123%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -13.61%E -10.80%K -52.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.14%EV -11.54%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV +2.30%E +0.437%K +0.540%G +0.012% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 02:47 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.65%EV -15.67%E -12.74%K -68.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.29%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -1.38%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.16%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 8.13I 12.30%NM 11.82%EV -2.81%E -0.346%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 02:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 02:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.76%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -7.36%E -0.949%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.29%EV -8.91%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.88%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -9.15%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -8.13%E -6.07%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.28%EV -10.94%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.14%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -13.33%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.82%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.27%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.26%EV -17.52%E -2.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.32%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -27.08%E -4.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -18.16%E -4.32%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 02:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -28.28%E -4.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.69% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 02:50 |