Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cruz Azul v Atlante FC

Początek: 2026-08-02 03:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cruz Azul 2–3 Atlante FC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cruz Azul (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.56%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -2.64%
Przewaga -1.86%
Kelly -6.29%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.32%68.62%68.44%72.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.231.341.331.4281.30%74.81%74.91%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Atlante FC (Goście)

Prognoza 11.95%8.37kurs godziwy
EV +13.56%
Przewaga +1.43%
Kelly +1.60%
Wzrost +0.216%

przy maksymalnym kursie 9.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.81%11.97%11.87%14.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.007.978.009.5016.67%12.55%12.50%10.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 19.48%5.13kurs godziwy
EV +4.05%
Przewaga +0.758%
Kelly +0.933%
Wzrost +0.038%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.34

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.61%19.41%19.69%21.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.824.805.3425.00%20.73%20.83%18.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cruz Azul (Gospodarze): 68.56%; Atlante FC (Goście): 11.95%; Remis: 19.48%. Dla wyniku Atlante FC (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 8.37. 19 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 9.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +13.56%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%5.2%2026-08-02 02:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%5.2%2026-08-02 02:44
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -11.56%E -8.96%K -39.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +13.56%E +1.43%K +1.60%G +0.216%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:45
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.01%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.06%EV +12.97%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%5.2%2026-08-02 02:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.32%E +0.254%K +0.315%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.78%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -0.627%E -0.123%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 02:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -12.93%E -10.18%K -47.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -13.61%E -10.80%K -52.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.948%G +0.072%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038%3.5%2026-08-02 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +4.05%E +0.758%K +0.933%G +0.038%3.5%2026-08-02 02:50
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -2.64%E -1.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.14%EV -11.54%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 02:55
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV +2.30%E +0.437%K +0.540%G +0.012%6.6%2026-08-02 02:47
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.65%EV -15.67%E -12.74%K -68.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.37%EV +1.61%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 02:50
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.29%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -1.38%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 02:55
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.16%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.82%EV -2.81%E -0.346%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 02:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -2.58%E -0.515%K -0.644%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 02:55
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 02:53
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV +3.27%E +0.617%K +0.760%G +0.025%7.1%2026-08-02 02:40
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 02:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 02:54
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 02:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.76%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.52%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 02:45
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -7.36%E -0.949%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 02:55
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.29%EV -8.91%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.88%EV -8.23%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 02:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.65%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.20%EV -9.15%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.47%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 02:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 02:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 02:55
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.87%E -8.36%K -36.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 02:54
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -8.13%E -6.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.28%EV -10.94%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 02:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.14%EV -12.24%E -9.56%K -43.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -13.33%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.82%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.37%E -2.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 02:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 02:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -7.45%E -1.57%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.27%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.26%EV -17.52%E -2.54%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -8.42%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 02:55
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.81%E -6.63%K -26.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.32%E -2.74%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 02:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.06%E -5.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 02:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -27.08%E -4.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -18.16%E -4.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 02:51
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -28.28%E -4.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.27%E -3.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 02:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.21%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-08-02 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-02 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-02 02:55
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85%0.9%2026-08-02 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-08-02 02:55
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.69%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%2.5%2026-08-02 02:50