Language:English
Atlético San Luis v Necaxa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético San Luis (Local)
Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.02%42.10%42.04%43.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.182.182.3249.02%45.79%45.87%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Necaxa (Visit)
Prediction 31.33%3.19fair odd
EV +0.268%
Edge +0.084%
Kelly +0.122%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.53%31.26%31.36%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.953.2036.36%34.09%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.323%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.76%26.64%26.60%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.7131.25%29.18%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 42.04%; Necaxa (Visit): 31.33%; Draw: 26.63%. For Necaxa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.268%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV +0.268%E +0.084%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.53%EV -0.358%E -0.113%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.38%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.80%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.80%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.66%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.86%E -0.924%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.07%EV -1.20%E -0.323%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.01%EV -7.94%E -3.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.08%EV -7.25%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.90%EV -8.92%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-19 22:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-19 22:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -12.89%E -4.64%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.73%EV -12.65%E -3.86%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.76%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -13.21%E -4.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.03%EV -14.25%E -6.98%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.18%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -14.78%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-19 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |