L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Atlético San Luis v Necaxa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 23:00 UTC

Score final : Atlético San Luis 3–1 Necaxa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prévision 42.04%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.02%42.10%42.04%43.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.182.182.3249.02%45.79%45.87%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Necaxa (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.33%3.19cote équitable
EV +0.268%
Avantage +0.084%
Kelly +0.122%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.53%31.26%31.36%32.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.953.2036.36%34.09%33.90%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.63%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.323%
Kelly -0.442%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.76%26.64%26.60%27.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.403.7131.25%29.18%29.41%26.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético San Luis (Local) : 42.04% ; Necaxa (Visiteur) : 31.33% ; Match nul : 26.63%. Pour Necaxa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.19. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.20, soit une espérance positive de +0.268%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV +0.268%E +0.084%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.53%EV -0.358%E -0.113%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.38%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.80%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.80%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:01
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.66%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 22:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.86%E -0.924%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:08
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.07%EV -1.20%E -0.323%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 22:54
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 19:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.01%EV -7.94%E -3.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.08%EV -7.25%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.90%EV -8.92%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 22:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 22:14
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 22:45
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:20
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:34
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 22:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 22:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 22:19
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 21:59
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 22:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 22:23
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 22:04
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 22:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -12.89%E -4.64%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.73%EV -12.65%E -3.86%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 22:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.76%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -13.21%E -4.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 22:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.03%EV -14.25%E -6.98%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.18%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -14.78%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-19 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-09-19 22:49
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-19 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-09-19 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-09-19 22:35
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-09-19 22:49