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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Atlético San Luis v Necaxa

Início: 2026-09-19 23:00 UTC

Final: Atlético San Luis 3–1 Necaxa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Previsão 42.04%2.38odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.02%42.10%42.04%43.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.182.182.3249.02%45.79%45.87%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Necaxa (Visitante)

Previsão 31.33%3.19odd justa
EV +0.268%
Vantagem +0.084%
Kelly +0.122%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.53%31.26%31.36%32.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.953.2036.36%34.09%33.90%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.63%3.76odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.323%
Kelly -0.442%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.76%26.64%26.60%27.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.433.403.7131.25%29.18%29.41%26.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlético San Luis (Local): 42.04%; Necaxa (Visitante): 31.33%; Empate: 26.63%. Para Necaxa (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.19. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.268%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV +0.268%E +0.084%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.53%EV -0.358%E -0.113%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.38%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.80%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -5.00%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.80%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:01
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.66%EV -1.92%E -0.615%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 22:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.86%E -0.924%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:08
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.07%EV -1.20%E -0.323%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 22:54
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 19:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.01%EV -7.94%E -3.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.08%EV -7.25%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.90%EV -8.92%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 22:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 22:14
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 22:45
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:20
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:19
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.36%E -3.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:34
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 22:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 22:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.81%EV -10.04%E -4.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 22:19
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 21:59
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 22:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 22:23
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 22:04
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 22:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.27%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -12.89%E -4.64%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.73%EV -12.65%E -3.86%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 22:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.76%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -13.21%E -4.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 22:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.03%EV -14.25%E -6.98%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.18%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -14.78%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-19 22:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-09-19 22:49
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-19 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-09-19 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-09-19 22:35
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-09-19 22:49