Language:English
Atlético San Luis v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético San Luis (Local)
Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.81%23.02%24.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.993.984.2527.40%25.09%25.16%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 52.78%1.89fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.63%52.74%52.71%54.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.03%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.34%4.11fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -0.882%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.54%24.45%24.27%26.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.734.0029.41%27.01%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 22.88%; Guadalajara (Visit): 52.78%; Draw: 24.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -2.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.43%EV -2.99%E -0.705%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.07%EV -3.22%E -0.761%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.26%EV -7.11%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.61%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -12.37%E -3.23%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -12.87%E -3.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 05:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-02 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.34%E -4.15%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 23:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -16.49%E -4.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.32%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |