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Atlético San Luis v Guadalajara
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Atlético San Luis (Хозяева)
Прогноз 22.88%4.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.76%
Преимущество -0.649%
Kelly -0.849%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.70%22.81%23.02%24.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.653.993.984.2527.40%25.09%25.16%23.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Guadalajara (Гости)
Прогноз 52.78%1.89справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.41%
Преимущество -1.86%
Kelly -4.11%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.63%52.74%52.71%54.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.03%57.14%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.34%4.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.65%
Преимущество -0.662%
Kelly -0.882%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.54%24.45%24.27%26.06%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.703.734.0029.41%27.01%26.85%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Atlético San Luis (Хозяева): 22.88%; Guadalajara (Гости): 52.78%; Ничья: 24.34%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.11. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.00, математическое ожидание — -2.65%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.43%EV -2.99%E -0.705%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.07%EV -3.22%E -0.761%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.26%EV -7.11%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.61%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -12.37%E -3.23%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -12.87%E -3.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 05:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-02 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.34%E -4.15%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 23:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -16.49%E -4.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.32%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |