Idioma:Español
Atlético San Luis v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlético San Luis (Local)
Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.849%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.70%22.81%23.02%24.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.653.993.984.2527.40%25.09%25.16%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 52.78%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -4.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.63%52.74%52.71%54.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.03%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.34%4.11momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.662%
Kelly -0.882%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.54%24.45%24.27%26.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.734.0029.41%27.01%26.85%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlético San Luis (Local): 22.88%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 52.78%; Empate: 24.34%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.11. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.00, con un valor esperado de -2.65%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.43%EV -2.99%E -0.705%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 03:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.07%EV -3.22%E -0.761%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.26%EV -7.11%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.61%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -12.37%E -3.23%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -12.87%E -3.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 05:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-02 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.34%E -4.15%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 23:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -16.49%E -4.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.32%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |