Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlético San Luis v Guadalajara

Inizio: 2026-09-05 23:02 UTC

Finale: Atlético San Luis 0–3 Guadalajara

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlético San Luis (Casa)

Previsione 22.88%4.37quota equa
EV -2.76%
Vantaggio -0.649%
Kelly -0.849%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.70%22.81%23.02%24.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.993.984.2527.40%25.09%25.16%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Guadalajara (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.78%1.89quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -4.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.63%52.74%52.71%54.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.03%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.34%4.11quota equa
EV -2.65%
Vantaggio -0.662%
Kelly -0.882%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.54%24.45%24.27%26.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.703.734.0029.41%27.01%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atlético San Luis (Casa): 22.88%; Guadalajara (Trasferta): 52.78%; Pareggio: 24.34%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.11. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.00, con un valore atteso del -2.65%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:29
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.86%E -0.978%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:15
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 07:35
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.76%E -0.649%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 07:35
Pinnacle🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.43%EV -2.99%E -0.705%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 03:25
1xBet🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.07%EV -3.22%E -0.761%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.36%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 23:00
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.74%E -5.70%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:15
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 13:30
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 23:00
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 08:39
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 08:43
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 23:10
GTbets🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.26%EV -7.11%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.61%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:25
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 06:40
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.65%E -0.662%K -0.882%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 23:05
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 11:30
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:54
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:55
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:55
BetRivers🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:55
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:54
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:30
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.77%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -12.37%E -3.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -12.87%E -3.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 05:38
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 23:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:54
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 22:00
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 22:00
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -13.06%E -3.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-02 11:29
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 14:30
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 22:10
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.34%E -4.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 23:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -16.49%E -4.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.32%EV -11.85%E -7.10%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-04 09:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%2.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%3.5%2026-09-04 14:05
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%4.7%2026-09-04 14:20