Atlas v Tigres

2026-08-16 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

28%

44%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlas (Local)

Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd

EV -4.05%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -1.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.97%28.21%28.22%29.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.003.233.203.4033.33%30.95%31.25%29.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tigres (Visit)

Prediction 43.55%2.30fair odd

EV -4.19%

Edge -1.90%

Kelly -3.49%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.25%43.34%43.55%45.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.71%47.62%45.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd

EV -4.03%

Edge -1.18%

Kelly -1.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.69%28.45%28.23%29.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.003.173.203.4033.33%31.51%31.25%29.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-26 11:30
Marathon Bet	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -8.11%E -3.84%K -7.30%G +0.000%	3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -7.98%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-26 12:50
Coolbet	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-26 11:44
FanDuel	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.36%E -2.96%K -5.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.03%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-26 11:45
LeoVegas	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.02%E -5.95%K -11.79%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-26 11:30
SportsBet	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.36%E -2.96%K -5.53%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-26 11:45
888sport	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.76%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-26 11:35
William Hill	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.76%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-26 11:40
888sport (SE)	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.76%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-26 11:35
Mr Green (SE)	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.76%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-26 11:35
Betclic (FR)	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -16.82%E -8.80%K -18.48%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-07-26 11:30
Paddy Power	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.51%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.76%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-26 11:45
Sky Bet	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -15.32%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-07-26 11:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.