Language:English
Atlas v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlas (Local)
Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.458%
Kelly -0.654%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.18%29.47%29.61%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.153.153.3333.90%31.74%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.812%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.13%40.94%40.76%43.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.202.4050.00%45.27%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.547%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%29.59%29.63%30.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.113.3234.48%31.97%32.15%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlas (Local): 29.57%; Tigres (Visit): 40.85%; Draw: 29.57%. For Atlas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.33, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -1.52%E -0.458%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.22%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -4.48%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.86%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.71%EV -9.71%E -4.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.43%EV -1.82%E -0.547%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -15.02%E -7.22%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 03:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 03:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.85%E -3.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -16.25%E -7.93%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.02%EV -8.91%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -18.29%E -9.15%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |