Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlas v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 03:10 UTC

Score final : Atlas 2–1 Tigres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlas (Local)

Prévision 29.57%3.38cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.458%
Kelly -0.654%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.18%29.47%29.61%30.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.153.153.3333.90%31.74%31.75%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.85%2.45cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.812%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.13%40.94%40.76%43.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.202.4050.00%45.27%45.45%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.57%3.38cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.783%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.15%29.59%29.63%30.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.113.3234.48%31.97%32.15%30.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlas (Local) : 29.57% ; Tigres (Visiteur) : 40.85% ; Match nul : 29.57%. Pour Atlas (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.33, pour une espérance de -1.52% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -1.52%E -0.458%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.22%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -4.48%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 02:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 23:45
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 02:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 02:35
Coolbet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 02:25
GTbets🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.86%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.71%EV -9.71%E -4.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.43%EV -1.82%E -0.547%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 02:55
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:34
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:34
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 02:19
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 02:54
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 02:14
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 03:00
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 03:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:39
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:28
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 03:05
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -15.02%E -7.22%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 02:35
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 03:03
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 03:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.85%E -3.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 02:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 02:39
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 02:55
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -16.25%E -7.93%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 03:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 02:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 02:34
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 02:59
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.02%EV -8.91%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 02:45
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:29
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -18.29%E -9.15%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-16 02:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-16 02:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-08-16 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-08-16 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-08-16 02:59
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-08-16 03:05
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%1.9%2026-08-16 02:25
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.0%2026-08-16 03:05