Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlas (Local): 29.57%; Tigres (Visitante): 40.85%; Empate: 29.57%. Para Atlas (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.33, con un valor esperado de -1.52%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -1.52%E -0.458%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.22%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -4.48%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.86%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.71%EV -9.71%E -4.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.43%EV -1.82%E -0.547%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -15.02%E -7.22%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 03:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 03:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.85%E -3.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -16.25%E -7.93%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 02:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.02%EV -8.91%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -18.29%E -9.15%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 02:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 02:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |