Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlas v Tigres

Início: 2026-08-16 03:10 UTC

Final: Atlas 2–1 Tigres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlas (Local)

Previsão 29.57%3.38odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.458%
Kelly -0.654%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.18%29.47%29.61%30.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.153.153.3333.90%31.74%31.75%30.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tigres (Visitante)

Previsão 40.85%2.45odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.812%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.13%40.94%40.76%43.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.212.202.4050.00%45.27%45.45%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.57%3.38odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.547%
Kelly -0.783%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.15%29.59%29.63%30.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.133.113.3234.48%31.97%32.15%30.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlas (Local): 29.57%; Tigres (Visitante): 40.85%; Empate: 29.57%. Para Atlas (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.38. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.33, com valor esperado de -1.52%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -1.52%E -0.458%K -0.654%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.22%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -4.48%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 02:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 23:45
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 02:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.41%E -0.730%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 02:35
Coolbet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 02:25
GTbets🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.86%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.71%EV -9.71%E -4.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.43%EV -1.82%E -0.547%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 02:55
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:34
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:34
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -13.39%E -6.32%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 02:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 02:19
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 02:54
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 02:14
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 03:00
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 03:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:39
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:28
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 03:05
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -15.02%E -7.22%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 02:35
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 03:03
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 03:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.85%E -3.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 02:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.04%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 02:39
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 02:55
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -16.25%E -7.93%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 03:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 02:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -15.84%E -7.69%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 02:34
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 02:59
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.19%EV -11.35%E -5.23%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.02%EV -8.91%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 02:45
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:29
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 17:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -18.29%E -9.15%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-16 02:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.33%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-16 02:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-08-16 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-08-16 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-08-16 02:59
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.2%2026-08-16 03:05
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%1.9%2026-08-16 02:25
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.0%2026-08-16 03:05