The School of Odds

Atlas v Monterrey

2026-08-02 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlas (Local)

Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.92%35.71%35.63%37.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.552.6843%39%39%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Monterrey (Visit)

Prediction 35.94%2.78fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%35.84%35.76%36.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6542%39%39%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV -0.528%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.211%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.45%28.61%30.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.173.243.5034%32%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.48%E -1.67%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -7.28%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 05:40
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.48%E -1.67%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -7.28%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 05:39
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.55%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.528%E -0.151%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 19:35
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.55%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.37%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 19:34
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.55%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.77%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 19:35
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -6.62%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.81%EV -6.92%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.49%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 19:35
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -6.62%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.81%EV -6.92%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.49%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 19:35
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.36%E -3.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:32
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.58%E -6.06%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.58%E -6.06%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.58%E -6.06%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.58%E -6.06%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -12.68%E -5.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.36%E -3.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:35
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -12.68%E -5.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.75%E -5.73%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-20 19:35
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.29%EV -16.24%E -6.91%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.65%EV -9.91%E -3.13%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-20 19:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.