Language:English
Atlas v Monterrey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlas (Local)
Prediction 36.61%2.73fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.428%
Kelly -0.681%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.58%36.61%37.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.542.552.7042.19%39.30%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monterrey (Visit)
Prediction 35.46%2.82fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.79%35.52%35.51%36.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.602.7540.82%38.50%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -0.571%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.90%27.89%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.5633.33%30.52%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlas (Local): 36.61%; Monterrey (Visit): 35.46%; Draw: 27.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -0.571%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -1.16%E -0.428%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -1.16%E -0.428%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.15%EV -2.62%E -0.985%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.62%EV -6.16%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.97%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.08%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -0.571%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.40%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.75%E -3.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.75%E -3.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -12.05%E -4.86%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.97%EV -11.41%E -4.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.81%EV -8.86%E -3.45%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.22%EV -11.46%E -3.62%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.24%E -5.59%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |