Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlas v Monterrey

Início: 2026-08-02 01:05 UTC

Final: Atlas 0–2 Monterrey

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlas (Local)

Previsão 36.61%2.73odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.428%
Kelly -0.681%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.99%36.58%36.61%37.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.372.542.552.7042.19%39.30%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Monterrey (Visitante)

Previsão 35.46%2.82odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -0.902%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.79%35.52%35.51%36.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.602.602.7540.82%38.50%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.93%3.58odd justa
EV -0.571%
Vantagem -0.160%
Kelly -0.223%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.48%27.90%27.89%29.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.283.303.5633.33%30.52%30.30%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlas (Local): 36.61%; Monterrey (Visitante): 35.46%; Empate: 27.93%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.58. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.56, com valor esperado de -0.571%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -1.16%E -0.428%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -1.16%E -0.428%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 00:50
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.15%EV -2.62%E -0.985%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.62%EV -6.16%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 00:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 00:49
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.97%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 17:05
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:55
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:50
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:49
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.08%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -0.571%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 00:55
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.40%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 00:59
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 00:50
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 00:04
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 00:50
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 00:50
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:59
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.75%E -3.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 00:44
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.75%E -3.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 00:45
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:54
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:58
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 01:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 00:45
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 00:20
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 00:49
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 00:40
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -12.05%E -4.86%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 00:50
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.97%EV -11.41%E -4.71%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.81%EV -8.86%E -3.45%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.22%EV -11.46%E -3.62%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 00:39
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 01:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 01:00
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 00:59
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 23:59
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.24%E -5.59%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-08-02 01:00
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-02 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-08-02 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-08-02 00:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-08-02 01:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-02 01:00