Idioma:Español
Atlas v Monterrey
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlas (Local)
Predicción 36.61%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.681%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.99%36.58%36.61%37.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.372.542.552.7042.19%39.30%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Monterrey (Visitante)
Predicción 35.46%2.82momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.79%35.52%35.51%36.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.602.602.7540.82%38.50%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.571%
Ventaja -0.160%
Kelly -0.223%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.90%27.89%29.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.283.303.5633.33%30.52%30.30%28.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlas (Local): 36.61%; Monterrey (Visitante): 35.46%; Empate: 27.93%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.58. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.56, con un valor esperado de -0.571%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -1.16%E -0.428%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -1.16%E -0.428%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.15%EV -2.62%E -0.985%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.23%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.62%EV -6.16%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.97%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.08%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -0.571%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.40%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.75%E -3.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.75%E -3.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -12.05%E -4.86%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.97%EV -11.41%E -4.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.81%EV -8.86%E -3.45%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.22%EV -11.46%E -3.62%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.61%EV -13.24%E -5.59%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |