La scuola delle quote

Atlas v Monterrey

2026-08-02 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

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19 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atlas (Casa)

Previsione 35.79%2.79quota equa
EV -5.16%
Vantaggio -1.95%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.94%35.71%35.70%36.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.562.552.6540.82%39.07%39.22%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Monterrey (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.59%2.81quota equa
EV -5.68%
Vantaggio -2.14%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.94%35.70%35.63%36.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.20%39.22%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.62%3.49quota equa
EV +0.167%
Vantaggio +0.048%
Kelly +0.067%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.27%28.60%28.67%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.173.203.5034.48%31.50%31.25%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +0.167%E +0.048%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 19:35
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.69%E -0.793%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 19:34
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:35
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -5.87%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 05:35
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 09:04
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 09:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:32
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 03:35
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 11:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 01:29
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.87%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -8.99%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 05:50
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.87%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -8.99%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.41%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.26%EV -9.95%E -3.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 01:03
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -14.58%E -6.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.14%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-20 19:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.00%E -5.86%K -8.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.00%E -5.86%K -8.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.00%E -5.86%K -8.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -17.00%E -5.86%K -8.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 35.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.46%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.79%16.5%2026-07-24 15:25