Language:English
Atlante FC v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlante FC (Local)
Prediction 36.55%2.74fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%36.47%36.65%37.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.6342.55%39.78%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 37.24%2.69fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.799%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.77%37.25%37.21%39.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.6542.55%40.17%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV +0.902%
Edge +0.234%
Kelly +0.316%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.28%26.15%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.403.8532.26%29.08%29.41%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlante FC (Local): 36.55%; León (Visit): 37.24%; Draw: 26.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.902%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.22%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.65%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.902%E +0.234%K +0.316%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -5.41%E -2.13%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV +0.640%E +0.167%K +0.225%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -1.32%E -0.497%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -9.06%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 00:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -5.33%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -9.35%E -3.77%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.19%EV -11.54%E -4.77%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -14.10%E -6.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -18.75%E -6.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.31% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |