默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlante FC v León

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 01:00 UTC

最终结果: Atlante FC 1–1 León

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlante FC (主队)

预测 36.55%2.74公平赔率
EV -3.86%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -2.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
35.21%36.47%36.65%37.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.512.502.6342.55%39.78%40.00%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

León (客队)

预测 37.24%2.69公平赔率
EV -1.32%
优势 -0.497%
Kelly -0.799%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.77%37.25%37.21%39.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.492.502.6542.55%40.17%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.21%3.82公平赔率
EV +0.902%
优势 +0.234%
Kelly +0.316%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
25.13%26.28%26.15%27.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.443.403.8532.26%29.08%29.41%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlante FC (主队):36.55%;León (客队):37.24%;平局:26.21%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.82。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.85,对应+0.902%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.22%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.65%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.902%E +0.234%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.3%2026-08-29 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -5.41%E -2.13%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV +0.640%E +0.167%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.4%2026-08-29 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 00:50
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:30
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:45
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:53
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 00:45
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 00:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 00:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -1.32%E -0.497%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -9.06%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:44
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -5.33%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 00:15
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 00:55
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 00:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 00:55
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:14
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -9.35%E -3.77%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 00:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.19%EV -11.54%E -4.77%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 00:54
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 00:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -14.10%E -6.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -18.75%E -6.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 00:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-29 00:51
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-08-29 00:55