Idioma:Español
Atlante FC v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlante FC (Local)
Predicción 36.55%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.21%36.47%36.65%37.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.512.502.6342.55%39.78%40.00%38.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
León (Visitante)
Predicción 37.24%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.799%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.77%37.25%37.21%39.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6542.55%40.17%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.21%3.82momio equitativo
EV +0.902%
Ventaja +0.234%
Kelly +0.316%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.13%26.28%26.15%27.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.403.8532.26%29.08%29.41%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlante FC (Local): 36.55%; León (Visitante): 37.24%; Empate: 26.21%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.82. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.902%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.22%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.65%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.902%E +0.234%K +0.316%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -5.41%E -2.13%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV +0.640%E +0.167%K +0.225%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -1.32%E -0.497%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -9.06%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 00:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -5.33%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -9.35%E -3.77%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.19%EV -11.54%E -4.77%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -14.10%E -6.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -18.75%E -6.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.31% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |