Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlante FC v León

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 01:00 UTC

Score final : Atlante FC 1–1 León

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlante FC (Local)

Prévision 36.55%2.74cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.21%36.47%36.65%37.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.512.502.6342.55%39.78%40.00%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

León (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.24%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.497%
Kelly -0.799%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.77%37.25%37.21%39.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.502.6542.55%40.17%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.21%3.82cote équitable
EV +0.902%
Avantage +0.234%
Kelly +0.316%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%26.28%26.15%27.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.403.8532.26%29.08%29.41%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlante FC (Local) : 36.55% ; León (Visiteur) : 37.24% ; Match nul : 26.21%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.82. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.902%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.22%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.65%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.902%E +0.234%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.3%2026-08-29 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.06%EV -5.41%E -2.13%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV +0.640%E +0.167%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.4%2026-08-29 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.60%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.58%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.409%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 00:50
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:30
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:45
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:53
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 00:45
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.25%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.28%E -2.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.17%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 00:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 00:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -1.32%E -0.497%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -9.06%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:44
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -5.33%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.35%EV -3.55%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 00:15
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 00:55
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 00:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 00:55
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:14
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -9.35%E -3.77%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 00:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.19%EV -11.54%E -4.77%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 00:54
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 00:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -7.65%E -3.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -14.10%E -6.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -18.75%E -6.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-08-29 00:45
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-29 00:51
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-08-29 00:55