Language:English
América v Cruz Azul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV -0.072%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.034%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.48%32.06%31.76%35.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.802.803.1440.32%35.75%35.71%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visit)
Prediction 37.91%2.64fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.873%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%37.74%37.87%38.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.482.7044.44%40.48%40.32%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.27%3.30fair odd
EV -0.123%
Edge -0.037%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.82%30.20%30.37%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.80%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 31.82%; Cruz Azul (Visit): 37.91%; Draw: 30.27%. For Cruz Azul (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 02:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -5.27%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -0.123%E -0.037%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 02:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -8.66%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -0.072%E -0.023%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.83%EV -4.06%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -7.88%E -3.24%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.99%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 02:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -11.53%E -4.15%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.08%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.41%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.62%EV -13.44%E -4.94%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.89%EV -13.94%E -6.14%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%EV -14.65%E -5.20%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.77%E -6.10%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |