La escuela de los momiosAmérica v Cruz Azul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -0.072%
Ventaja -0.023%
Kelly -0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.48%32.06%31.76%35.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.802.803.1440.32%35.75%35.71%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cruz Azul (Visitante)
Predicción 37.91%2.64momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.873%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.99%37.74%37.87%38.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.482.7044.44%40.48%40.32%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.27%3.30momio equitativo
EV -0.123%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.82%30.20%30.37%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.80%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 02:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 02:55 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -5.27%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -0.123%E -0.037%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 02:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 02:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -8.66%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -0.072%E -0.023%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| GTbets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.83%EV -4.06%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -7.88%E -3.24%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.99%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 02:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| 888sport | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| William Hill | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -11.53%E -4.15%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.08%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.41%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.62%EV -13.44%E -4.94%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.89%EV -13.94%E -6.14%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%EV -14.65%E -5.20%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.77%E -6.10%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-12 02:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 03:00 |