مدرسة الاحتمالات

América v Cruz Azul

البداية: 2026-04-12 03:05 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: América 1–1 Cruz Azul

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

América (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.82%3.14السعر العادل
EV -0.072%
الأفضلية -0.023%
Kelly -0.034%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.48%32.06%31.76%35.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.802.803.1440.32%35.75%35.71%31.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cruz Azul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.91%2.64السعر العادل
EV +2.36%
الأفضلية +0.873%
Kelly +1.39%
النمو +0.033%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.99%37.74%37.87%38.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.472.482.7044.44%40.48%40.32%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.27%3.30السعر العادل
EV -0.123%
الأفضلية -0.037%
Kelly -0.053%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.82%30.20%30.37%31.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.80%32.79%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 02:54
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 02:55
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:49
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:55
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -5.27%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 02:50
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -0.123%E -0.037%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 02:19
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 02:49
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 02:50
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 02:50
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 02:59
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 03:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 03:00
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 02:49
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 02:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 02:45
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -8.66%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 02:50
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 02:50
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 02:50
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -0.072%E -0.023%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 03:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 03:00
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 03:00
GTbets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.83%EV -4.06%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 03:00
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 02:59
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Marathon Bet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -7.88%E -3.24%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.99%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 02:59
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 03:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 02:59
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 02:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 02:44
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 03:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 03:00
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -11.53%E -4.15%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.08%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.41%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 02:49
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 02:50
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 31.62%EV -13.44%E -4.94%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.89%EV -13.94%E -6.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%EV -14.65%E -5.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-12 03:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.77%E -6.10%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 02:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-12 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%3.2%2026-04-12 03:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%4.0%2026-04-12 03:00