L’École des cotes

América v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 03:05 UTC

Score final : América 1–1 Cruz Azul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

América (Local)

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -0.072%
Avantage -0.023%
Kelly -0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.48%32.06%31.76%35.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.802.803.1440.32%35.75%35.71%31.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.91%2.64cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +0.873%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.99%37.74%37.87%38.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.482.7044.44%40.48%40.32%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.27%3.30cote équitable
EV -0.123%
Avantage -0.037%
Kelly -0.053%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.82%30.20%30.37%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.80%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 02:54
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV +2.36%E +0.873%K +1.39%G +0.033%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.64%E -0.503%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 02:55
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:49
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -0.297%E -0.113%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:55
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -5.27%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 02:50
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -0.123%E -0.037%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 02:19
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -17.26%E -6.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 02:49
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 02:50
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -18.85%E -7.39%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 02:50
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 02:59
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.94%E -0.598%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 03:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 03:00
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 02:49
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 02:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 02:45
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -8.66%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 02:50
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 02:50
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -21.08%E -8.50%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 02:50
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -0.072%E -0.023%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 03:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 03:00
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -7.07%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.98%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 03:00
GTbets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.83%EV -4.06%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 03:00
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 02:59
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Marathon Bet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -7.88%E -3.24%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.99%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 02:59
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 03:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 02:59
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 02:50
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 02:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 02:44
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 03:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 03:00
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.26%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 03:00
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -11.53%E -4.15%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.08%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.41%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 02:49
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.72%E -3.63%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 02:50
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 31.62%EV -13.44%E -4.94%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.89%EV -13.94%E -6.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%EV -14.65%E -5.20%K -8.05%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-12 03:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -14.70%E -6.53%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.77%E -6.10%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 02:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-12 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-12 03:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%3.2%2026-04-12 03:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%4.0%2026-04-12 03:00