The School of OddsWaterford FC v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Waterford FC (Local)
Prediction 18.55%5.39fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.447%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.38%18.61%18.48%20.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.304.955.005.5023%20%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 59.71%1.67fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -3.59%
Kelly -9.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.37%59.61%59.82%60.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.541.5868%65%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 21.75%4.60fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.676%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.16%21.79%21.70%23.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.804.124.104.4926%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +2.01%E +0.366%K +0.447%G +0.009% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.70%E -0.320%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.15%EV -2.25%E -0.428%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.54%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.30%EV -2.36%E -0.526%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Casumo | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| betPARX | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -6.33%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -12.23%E -8.32%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -9.86%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.75%EV -6.71%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Bovada | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetUS | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.63%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -11.93%E -2.95%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.74%EV -11.04%E -7.41%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -16.28%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.83%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.87%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-10 18:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Coral | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -20.24%E -4.71%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |