The School of Odds

Waterford FC v St Patricks Athletic

2026-07-10 19:00 — League of Ireland

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Waterford FC (Local)

4.4022.73%Min
5.0419.83%Mean
5.0519.80%Median
5.5018.18%Max
16.68%5.993Min
19.16%5.219Max
17.55%5.697Mean
17.38%5.754Median
17.48%5.720IQM
17.52%5.708Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 17.48%

EV -3.85%Edge -0.699%Kelly -0.855%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: St Patricks Athletic (Visit)

1.4668.49%Min
1.5664.28%Mean
1.5564.52%Median
1.6162.11%Max
57.38%1.743Min
60.45%1.654Max
59.61%1.678Mean
59.83%1.671Median
59.80%1.672IQM
59.69%1.675Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.61 under the IQM model: 59.80%

EV -3.72%Edge -2.31%Kelly -6.10%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.6027.78%Min
3.9125.56%Mean
3.9025.64%Median
4.2423.58%Max
22.24%4.496Min
24.18%4.135Max
22.84%4.379Mean
22.79%4.388Median
22.72%4.402IQM
22.79%4.387Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.24 under the IQM model: 22.72%

EV -3.69%Edge -0.870%Kelly -1.14%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWaterford FC (Local) ▼St Patricks Athletic (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet5.50I 18.18% NM 17.27%EV -3.85% E -0.699% K -0.855% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 60.12%EV -5.51% E -3.49% K -9.50% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.61%EV -4.60% E -1.09% K -1.44% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.68%EV -3.85% E -0.699% K -0.855% G +0.000%1.52I 65.79% NM 60.37%EV -9.10% E -5.99% K -17.50% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.94%EV -9.14% E -2.28% K -3.05% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 14:14
Pinnacle5.45I 18.35% NM 17.30%EV -4.72% E -0.866% K -1.06% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 60.45%EV -6.71% E -4.30% K -11.98% G +0.000%4.24I 23.58% NM 22.24%EV -3.69% E -0.870% K -1.14% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:15
Marathon Bet5.40I 18.52% NM 17.29%EV -5.59% E -1.04% K -1.27% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 60.22%EV -7.31% E -4.71% K -13.28% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.49%EV -5.73% E -1.38% K -1.82% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:14
1xBet5.30I 18.87% NM 17.69%EV -7.34% E -1.39% K -1.71% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.72%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.72% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.59%EV -5.73% E -1.38% K -1.82% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 14:13
NordicBet5.30I 18.87% NM 17.46%EV -7.34% E -1.39% K -1.71% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.70%EV -7.31% E -4.71% K -13.28% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 22.85%EV -8.00% E -1.98% K -2.62% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 19:20
Betsson5.30I 18.87% NM 17.46%EV -7.34% E -1.39% K -1.71% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.70%EV -7.31% E -4.71% K -13.28% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 22.85%EV -8.00% E -1.98% K -2.62% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-03 19:25
FanDuel5.30I 18.87% NM 17.34%EV -7.34% E -1.39% K -1.71% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 59.68%EV -7.90% E -5.13% K -14.64% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.98%EV -9.14% E -2.28% K -3.05% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Bet Right5.25I 19.05% NM 17.55%EV -8.22% E -1.57% K -1.93% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.43%EV -7.31% E -4.71% K -13.28% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.03%EV -9.14% E -2.28% K -3.05% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 14:05
Unibet5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
Casumo5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
TABtouch5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
betPARX5.10I 19.61% NM 18.21%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.67%EV -3.72% E -2.31% K -6.10% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.12%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-03 19:20
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61% NM 18.07%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.45%EV -7.31% E -4.71% K -13.28% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.48%EV -6.87% E -1.67% K -2.22% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61% NM 18.07%EV -10.84% E -2.13% K -2.64% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.45%EV -7.31% E -4.71% K -13.28% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.48%EV -6.87% E -1.67% K -2.22% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.50%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.93%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.72% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.57%EV -6.87% E -1.67% K -2.22% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 14:05
BetRivers5.00I 20.00% NM 18.38%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 57.44%EV -4.32% E -2.70% K -7.19% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.18%EV -13.68% E -3.60% K -4.89% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 19:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00% NM 18.33%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 58.75%EV -6.71% E -4.30% K -11.98% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.91%EV -9.14% E -2.28% K -3.05% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 14:15
William Hill5.00I 20.00% NM 18.29%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.26%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.72% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.45%EV -11.41% E -2.93% K -3.93% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 14:15
BetMGM5.00I 20.00% NM 18.19%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 59.07%EV -7.90% E -5.13% K -14.64% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.74%EV -9.14% E -2.28% K -3.05% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.18%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 57.90%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.72% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.92%EV -13.68% E -3.60% K -4.89% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-03 19:20
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00% NM 18.12%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 59.22%EV -8.50% E -5.56% K -16.04% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.65%EV -9.14% E -2.28% K -3.05% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 14:05
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00% NM 17.85%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.34%EV -8.50% E -5.56% K -16.04% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.80%EV -14.82% E -3.95% K -5.39% G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-03 19:35
SportsBet5.00I 20.00% NM 17.81%EV -12.59% E -2.52% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 59.36%EV -10.30% E -6.86% K -20.59% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.83%EV -11.41% E -2.93% K -3.93% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41% NM 18.36%EV -14.34% E -2.93% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 57.66%EV -6.71% E -4.30% K -11.98% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.99%EV -14.82% E -3.95% K -5.39% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-03 19:20
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41% NM 18.36%EV -14.34% E -2.93% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 57.66%EV -6.71% E -4.30% K -11.98% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.99%EV -14.82% E -3.95% K -5.39% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-03 19:20
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41% NM 17.75%EV -14.34% E -2.93% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 58.75%EV -11.49% E -7.77% K -23.94% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 23.50%EV -15.95% E -4.31% K -5.91% G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83% NM 18.63%EV -16.08% E -3.35% K -4.23% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.44%EV -8.50% E -5.56% K -16.04% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.93%EV -11.41% E -2.93% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Coral4.80I 20.83% NM 18.63%EV -16.08% E -3.35% K -4.23% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.44%EV -8.50% E -5.56% K -16.04% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.93%EV -11.41% E -2.93% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-05 14:04
Neds4.80I 20.83% NM 18.63%EV -16.08% E -3.35% K -4.23% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.44%EV -8.50% E -5.56% K -16.04% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.93%EV -11.41% E -2.93% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83% NM 18.63%EV -16.08% E -3.35% K -4.23% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.44%EV -8.50% E -5.56% K -16.04% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.93%EV -11.41% E -2.93% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-05 14:05
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83% NM 18.34%EV -16.08% E -3.35% K -4.23% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 57.54%EV -8.50% E -5.56% K -16.04% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.12%EV -17.09% E -4.68% K -6.45% G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-03 19:20
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74% NM 18.93%EV -19.58% E -4.26% K -5.44% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 58.45%EV -10.89% E -7.31% K -22.23% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.62%EV -12.55% E -3.26% K -4.40% G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-03 19:50
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74% NM 18.71%EV -19.58% E -4.26% K -5.44% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 57.38%EV -10.30% E -6.86% K -20.59% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.91%EV -18.22% E -5.06% K -7.01% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-05 14:05
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73% NM 19.16%EV -23.08% E -5.24% K -6.79% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 57.74%EV -12.69% E -8.69% K -27.58% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.10%EV -17.09% E -4.68% K -6.45% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-03 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth