L’École des cotes

Waterford FC v St Patricks Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 19:02 UTC

Score final : Waterford FC 1–1 St Patricks Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 18.55%5.39cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.366%
Kelly +0.447%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.38%18.61%18.48%20.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.955.005.5023.26%20.20%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Patricks Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.71%1.67cote équitable
EV -5.66%
Avantage -3.59%
Kelly -9.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.37%59.61%59.82%60.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.541.5868.03%64.90%64.94%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.75%4.60cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.676%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.16%21.79%21.70%23.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.124.104.4926.32%24.27%24.39%22.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +2.01%E +0.366%K +0.447%G +0.009%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 18:59
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.70%E -0.320%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 18:59
Pinnacle5.27I 18.98%NM 18.15%EV -2.25%E -0.428%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.54%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.30%EV -2.36%E -0.526%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 18:59
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:55
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 19:00
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 18:59
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 19:00
Marathon Bet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -6.33%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 18:59
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 18:59
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 18:59
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 19:00
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 18:59
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 18:59
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 18:59
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 18:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 18:59
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 19:00
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -12.23%E -8.32%K -26.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-10 19:00
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 18:59
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 18:59
1xBet4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -9.86%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.75%EV -6.71%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 18:59
Bovada4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 18:59
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 18:59
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.63%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -11.93%E -2.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 19:00
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 19:00
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-10 18:59
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.74%EV -11.04%E -7.41%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-10 19:00
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 18:59
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -16.28%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 18:58
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.83%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.87%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-10 18:58
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 18:59
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -20.24%E -4.71%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-10 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-10 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-10 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-10 19:00
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-07-10 19:00