La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Waterford FC v St Patricks Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waterford FC (Local)
Predicción 18.55%5.39momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.366%
Kelly +0.447%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.38%18.61%18.48%20.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.955.005.5023.26%20.20%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 59.71%1.67momio equitativo
EV -5.66%
Ventaja -3.59%
Kelly -9.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.37%59.61%59.82%60.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.541.541.5868.03%64.90%64.94%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.75%4.60momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.676%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.16%21.79%21.70%23.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.124.104.4926.32%24.27%24.39%22.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +2.01%E +0.366%K +0.447%G +0.009% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.70%E -0.320%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.15%EV -2.25%E -0.428%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.54%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.30%EV -2.36%E -0.526%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Casumo | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| betPARX | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -6.33%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -12.23%E -8.32%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -9.86%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.75%EV -6.71%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Bovada | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetUS | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.63%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -11.93%E -2.95%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.74%EV -11.04%E -7.41%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -16.28%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.83%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.87%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-10 18:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Coral | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -20.24%E -4.71%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |