Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Waterford FC v St Patricks Athletic

Início: 2026-07-10 19:02 UTC

Final: Waterford FC 1–1 St Patricks Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Waterford FC (Local)

Previsão 18.55%5.39odd justa
EV +2.01%
Vantagem +0.366%
Kelly +0.447%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.38%18.61%18.48%20.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.304.955.005.5023.26%20.20%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 59.71%1.67odd justa
EV -5.66%
Vantagem -3.59%
Kelly -9.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.37%59.61%59.82%60.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.541.541.5868.03%64.90%64.94%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.75%4.60odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.526%
Kelly -0.676%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.16%21.79%21.70%23.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.124.104.4926.32%24.27%24.39%22.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Waterford FC (Local): 18.55%; St Patricks Athletic (Visitante): 59.71%; Empate: 21.75%. Para Waterford FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.39. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.01%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +2.01%E +0.366%K +0.447%G +0.009%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 18:59
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.70%E -0.320%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 18:59
Pinnacle🎯5.27I 18.98%NM 18.15%EV -2.25%E -0.428%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.54%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.30%EV -2.36%E -0.526%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 18:59
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:55
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:59
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.683%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -5.41%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -6.33%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 18:59
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.32%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 19:00
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 18:59
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 18:59
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 18:59
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -12.23%E -8.32%K -26.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-10 19:00
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 18:59
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -8.19%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 18:59
1xBet🎯4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -9.86%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.75%EV -6.71%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 18:59
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 18:59
BetUS🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 18:59
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.63%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -11.93%E -2.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 19:00
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 19:00
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.65%E -5.65%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-10 18:59
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -10.97%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.74%EV -11.04%E -7.41%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-10 19:00
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 18:59
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -11.90%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -5.66%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -16.28%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -12.83%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.87%EV -9.84%E -6.52%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-10 18:58
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 18:59
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.05%E -5.23%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -20.24%E -4.71%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-10 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-10 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-10 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-10 19:00
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-07-10 19:00