Language:English
Waterford FC v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waterford FC (Local)
Prediction 37.78%2.65fair odd
EV +0.121%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.86%37.69%37.80%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.452.6544.44%40.50%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 36.72%2.72fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.82%36.71%38.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.402.6345.45%40.99%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.50%3.92fair odd
EV -0.543%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.187%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.49%25.49%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.603.9030.77%28.02%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 37.78%; Dundalk (Visit): 36.72%; Draw: 25.50%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.647. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.650, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.121%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.82%E -0.472%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -15.55%E -6.76%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -16.29%E -7.14%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -17.39%E -7.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -14.57%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -17.39%E -7.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -14.57%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-08 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.68%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.68%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.51%EV -7.06%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.02%EV -3.44%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.47%EV -5.13%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -0.543%E -0.139%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.64%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.64%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 13:16 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.47%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.47%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.87%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.84%EV -19.22%E -8.74%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -17.12%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -3.09%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 17:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.09%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -12.61%E -5.30%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.46%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.46%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-07 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.20%EV -13.10%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -13.10%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.20%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-07 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |