Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Waterford FC v Dundalk

Início: 2026-09-11 18:45 UTC

Final: Waterford FC 1–1 Dundalk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Waterford FC (Local)

Previsão 37.78%2.65odd justa
EV +0.121%
Vantagem +0.046%
Kelly +0.073%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.86%37.69%37.80%38.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.472.452.6544.44%40.50%40.82%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundalk (Visitante)

Previsão 36.72%2.72odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.38%36.82%36.71%38.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.442.402.6345.45%40.99%41.67%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.50%3.92odd justa
EV -0.543%
Vantagem -0.139%
Kelly -0.187%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.00%25.49%25.49%26.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.573.603.9030.77%28.02%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Waterford FC (Local): 37.78%; Dundalk (Visitante): 36.72%; Empate: 25.50%. Para Waterford FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.647. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.650, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.121%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.82%E -0.472%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -15.55%E -6.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -16.29%E -7.14%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -17.39%E -7.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -14.57%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -17.39%E -7.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -14.57%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:45
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:45
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 14:50
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.68%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.68%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.51%EV -7.06%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.02%EV -3.44%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.47%EV -5.13%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -0.543%E -0.139%K -0.187%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.64%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.64%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 17:45
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 13:16
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.47%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:09
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.47%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.87%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.84%EV -19.22%E -8.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -17.12%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-08 10:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -3.09%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 17:43
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 07:40
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.09%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 23:35
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -12.61%E -5.30%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 18:50
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 20:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.46%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.46%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.20%EV -13.10%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -13.10%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-06 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.20%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-07 18:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%4.1%2026-09-09 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20