Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Waterford FC v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 18:45 UTC

Score final : Waterford FC 1–1 Dundalk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 37.78%2.65cote équitable
EV +0.121%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.86%37.69%37.80%38.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.452.6544.44%40.50%40.82%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.72%2.72cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.38%36.82%36.71%38.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.442.402.6345.45%40.99%41.67%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.50%3.92cote équitable
EV -0.543%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.187%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.49%25.49%26.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.573.603.9030.77%28.02%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Waterford FC (Local) : 37.78% ; Dundalk (Visiteur) : 36.72% ; Match nul : 25.50%. Pour Waterford FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.647. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.650, soit une espérance positive de +0.121%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +0.121%E +0.046%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.82%E -0.472%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -15.55%E -6.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -16.29%E -7.14%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -17.39%E -7.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -14.57%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -17.39%E -7.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -14.57%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:45
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:45
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.30%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.18%EV -6.01%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 14:50
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.68%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.68%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.51%EV -7.06%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.02%EV -3.44%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.47%EV -5.13%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -0.543%E -0.139%K -0.187%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.64%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.64%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 17:45
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 13:16
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.47%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:09
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.47%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.87%EV -7.44%E -3.03%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.84%EV -19.22%E -8.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -17.12%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-08 10:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -3.09%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 17:43
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 07:40
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.09%E -0.814%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 23:35
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -12.61%E -5.30%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 18:50
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 20:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.46%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.46%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -10.04%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.20%EV -13.10%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -13.10%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-06 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.20%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-07 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%4.1%2026-09-09 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20