StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Waterford FC v Derry City

Matchstart: 2026-05-15 18:47 UTC

Slutresultat: Waterford FC 2–2 Derry City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Waterford FC (Hemma)

Prognos 21.66%4.62rättvist odds
EV -2.32%
Fördel -0.514%
Kelly -0.661%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.73%21.78%21.69%23.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.184.204.5126.32%23.95%23.81%22.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Derry City (Borta)

Prognos 52.95%1.89rättvist odds
EV -4.70%
Fördel -2.61%
Kelly -5.87%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.06%52.88%52.93%54.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.631.751.751.8061.35%57.30%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.40%3.94rättvist odds
EV -2.22%
Fördel -0.578%
Kelly -0.780%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.12%25.34%25.38%27.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.06%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Waterford FC (Hemma): 21.66%; Derry City (Borta): 52.95%; Oavgjort: 25.40%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.94. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.85, med väntevärdet -2.22%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -2.32%E -0.514%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.17%EV -3.24%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 18:44
1xBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:44
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.22%E -0.578%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:45
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:45
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.22%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 18:44
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:45
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:45
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:44
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 18:44
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:45
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:45
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:44
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.38%EV -13.70%E -8.40%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-15 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.58%E -6.94%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.27%E -6.86%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 18:45
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -16.19%E -4.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -17.70%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%2.4%2026-05-15 18:45