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Waterford FC v Derry City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Waterford FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.66%4.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.32%
Преимущество -0.514%
Kelly -0.661%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.51
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.73%21.78%21.69%23.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.184.204.5126.32%23.95%23.81%22.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Derry City (Гости)
Прогноз 52.95%1.89справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.70%
Преимущество -2.61%
Kelly -5.87%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.06%52.88%52.93%54.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.631.751.751.8061.35%57.30%57.14%55.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.40%3.94справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.22%
Преимущество -0.578%
Kelly -0.780%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.12%25.34%25.38%27.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.06%28.17%25.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Waterford FC (Хозяева): 21.66%; Derry City (Гости): 52.95%; Ничья: 25.40%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.94. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.85, математическое ожидание — -2.22%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -2.32%E -0.514%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.17%EV -3.24%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.22%E -0.578%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.22%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.38%EV -13.70%E -8.40%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.58%E -6.94%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.27%E -6.86%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.87%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -16.19%E -4.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -17.70%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |