La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Waterford FC v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waterford FC (Local)
Predicción 21.66%4.62momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -0.661%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.73%21.78%21.69%23.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.184.204.5126.32%23.95%23.81%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 52.95%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -5.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.06%52.88%52.93%54.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.751.751.8061.35%57.30%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.40%3.94momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.578%
Kelly -0.780%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.12%25.34%25.38%27.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.06%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -2.32%E -0.514%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.17%EV -3.24%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| 1xBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.22%E -0.578%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| William Hill | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Everygame | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.22%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetUS | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Bet Right | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.38%EV -13.70%E -8.40%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.58%E -6.94%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.27%E -6.86%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.87%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -16.19%E -4.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -17.70%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |