مدرسة الاحتمالات

Waterford FC v Derry City

البداية: 2026-05-15 18:47 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Waterford FC 2–2 Derry City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Waterford FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.66%4.62السعر العادل
EV -2.32%
الأفضلية -0.514%
Kelly -0.661%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.73%21.78%21.69%23.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.184.204.5126.32%23.95%23.81%22.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Derry City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.95%1.89السعر العادل
EV -4.70%
الأفضلية -2.61%
Kelly -5.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.06%52.88%52.93%54.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.631.751.751.8061.35%57.30%57.14%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.40%3.94السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.578%
Kelly -0.780%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.12%25.34%25.38%27.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.06%28.17%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -2.32%E -0.514%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.17%EV -3.24%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 18:44
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:44
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.54%E -0.564%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.54%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:44
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.22%E -0.578%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 18:44
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:44
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:45
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:45
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.22%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 18:44
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:45
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:45
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:44
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 18:44
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:45
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 18:44
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:44
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 18:44
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:45
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:45
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:45
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:45
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.38%EV -13.70%E -8.40%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-15 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.58%E -6.94%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.27%E -6.86%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.87%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:45
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -14.45%E -3.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 18:45
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -16.19%E -4.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -17.70%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.65%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 18:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%2.4%2026-05-15 18:45