Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 73.35%1.36fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -12.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.24%73.31%73.55%75.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.251.251.3185.47%80.07%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 10.05%9.95fair odd
EV +10.58%
Edge +0.962%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.112%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.69%10.10%9.84%12.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.289.2511.0014.29%10.78%10.81%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.60%6.02fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.206%
Kelly +0.246%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 6.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.29%16.60%16.62%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.515.556.1022.22%18.16%18.02%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 73.35%; Waterford FC (Visit): 10.05%; Draw: 16.60%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.95. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.68%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -9.78%E -7.95%K -42.53%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +1.25%E +0.206%K +0.246%G +0.003% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.16%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 9.72I 10.29%NM 9.84%EV -2.29%E -0.235%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.00%EV -0.737%E -0.123%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.85%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.07%EV -14.18%E -12.12%K -83.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:47 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.19%EV -3.91%E -2.99%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.74I 11.44%NM 10.67%EV -12.14%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.14%EV -14.68%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -22.09%E -2.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.18%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.28%EV -22.59%E -2.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.54%EV -17.83%E -3.60%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -29.63%E -4.23%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -15.34%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |