La escuela de los momiosEspañol
St Patricks Athletic v Waterford FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Predicción 73.35%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -2.99%
Kelly -12.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.24%73.31%73.55%75.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.251.251.3185.47%80.07%80.00%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waterford FC (Visitante)
Predicción 10.05%9.95momio equitativo
EV +10.58%
Ventaja +0.962%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.112%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.69%10.10%9.84%12.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.289.2511.0014.29%10.78%10.81%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.60%6.02momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.206%
Kelly +0.246%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.29%16.60%16.62%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.515.556.1022.22%18.16%18.02%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.68%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -9.78%E -7.95%K -42.53%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +1.25%E +0.206%K +0.246%G +0.003% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.16%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 9.72I 10.29%NM 9.84%EV -2.29%E -0.235%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.00%EV -0.737%E -0.123%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.85%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.07%EV -14.18%E -12.12%K -83.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:47 |
| BetAnything | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.19%EV -3.91%E -2.99%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 8.74I 11.44%NM 10.67%EV -12.14%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.14%EV -14.68%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:50 |
| BetUS | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 18:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -22.09%E -2.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.18%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.28%EV -22.59%E -2.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.54%EV -17.83%E -3.60%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -29.63%E -4.23%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -15.34%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:55 |