A Escola das Odds

St Patricks Athletic v Waterford FC

Início: 2026-05-08 19:00 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 4–1 Waterford FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Previsão 73.35%1.36odd justa
EV -3.91%
Vantagem -2.99%
Kelly -12.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.24%73.31%73.55%75.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.251.251.3185.47%80.07%80.00%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Waterford FC (Visitante)

Previsão 10.05%9.95odd justa
EV +10.58%
Vantagem +0.962%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.112%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.69%10.10%9.84%12.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.009.289.2511.0014.29%10.78%10.81%9.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 16.60%6.02odd justa
EV +1.25%
Vantagem +0.206%
Kelly +0.246%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.29%16.60%16.62%19.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.515.556.1022.22%18.16%18.02%16.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.68%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:34
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:28
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -9.78%E -7.95%K -42.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +1.25%E +0.206%K +0.246%G +0.003%7.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.16%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.84%EV -2.29%E -0.235%K -0.262%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.00%EV -0.737%E -0.123%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:34
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 72.85%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:34
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 18:30
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.07%EV -14.18%E -12.12%K -83.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:30
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:44
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 18:34
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-08 18:29
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:28
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:47
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:50
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.19%EV -3.91%E -2.99%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.74I 11.44%NM 10.67%EV -12.14%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.14%EV -14.68%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:44
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:50
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:55
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:19
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:49
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:30
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:29
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -22.09%E -2.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.18%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.28%EV -22.59%E -2.93%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.54%EV -17.83%E -3.60%K -4.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -29.63%E -4.23%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -15.34%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%0.8%2026-05-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:55