مدرسة الاحتمالات

St Patricks Athletic v Waterford FC

البداية: 2026-05-08 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: St Patricks Athletic 4–1 Waterford FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.35%1.36السعر العادل
EV -3.91%
الأفضلية -2.99%
Kelly -12.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.24%73.31%73.55%75.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.251.251.3185.47%80.07%80.00%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Waterford FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.05%9.95السعر العادل
EV +10.58%
الأفضلية +0.962%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.112%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.69%10.10%9.84%12.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.009.289.2511.0014.29%10.78%10.81%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.60%6.02السعر العادل
EV +1.25%
الأفضلية +0.206%
Kelly +0.246%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.29%16.60%16.62%19.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.515.556.1022.22%18.16%18.02%16.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.68%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:34
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:28
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -9.78%E -7.95%K -42.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +1.25%E +0.206%K +0.246%G +0.003%7.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:20
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +5.55%E +0.529%K +0.585%G +0.032%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -12.72%E -10.69%K -66.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV +0.527%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.776%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.16%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.84%EV -2.29%E -0.235%K -0.262%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.00%EV -0.737%E -0.123%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:34
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 72.85%EV -7.58%E -6.02%K -29.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:34
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 18:30
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.07%EV -14.18%E -12.12%K -83.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.25%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -7.04%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:30
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:44
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 18:34
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.98%E -9.99%K -59.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-08 18:29
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:28
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:47
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -12.04%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:50
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.19%EV -3.91%E -2.99%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.74I 11.44%NM 10.67%EV -12.14%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.14%EV -14.68%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:44
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:50
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 72.81%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -13.55%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -5.38%E -0.945%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:55
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -0.405%E -0.068%K -0.081%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:19
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:49
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:30
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:29
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.99%EV -15.56%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.02%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.38%E -4.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.11%E -4.78%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.70%EV -6.85%E -5.39%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -22.09%E -2.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.18%EV -10.52%E -8.62%K -47.80%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.28%EV -22.59%E -2.93%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.54%EV -17.83%E -3.60%K -4.51%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -8.31%E -6.65%K -33.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -29.63%E -4.23%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -15.34%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 18:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%0.8%2026-05-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:55