Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 49.57%2.02fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.32%49.60%49.64%52.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.851.9557.80%54.61%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 22.28%4.49fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%22.31%22.18%23.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.154.204.4027.03%24.10%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.15%3.55fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%28.08%28.18%28.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.023.293.303.4233.11%30.37%30.30%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 49.57%; Dundalk (Visit): 22.28%; Draw: 28.15%. For Dundalk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.73%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.53%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -7.67%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 19:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.80%E -4.20%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.65%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.58%EV -11.77%E -6.61%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -16.44%E -4.38%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.58%EV -12.76%E -7.25%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 28.31%EV -14.99%E -4.96%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.16%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.44% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |