La escuela de los momios

St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Predicción 49.57%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.32%49.60%49.64%52.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.851.9557.80%54.61%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Predicción 22.28%4.49momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.445%
Kelly -0.576%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.92%22.31%22.18%23.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.154.204.4027.03%24.10%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.15%3.55momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.85%28.08%28.18%28.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.023.293.303.4233.11%30.37%30.30%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 19:34
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.73%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:40
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.53%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:39
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:39
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -7.67%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:35
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:39
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:39
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:39
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:39
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:38
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 19:40
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:39
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.80%E -4.20%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:39
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:34
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.65%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:38
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:39
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.58%EV -11.77%E -6.61%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -16.44%E -4.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:05
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 48.58%EV -12.76%E -7.25%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.31%EV -14.99%E -4.96%K -7.42%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-27 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.16%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:04
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-02-27 19:39