StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk

Matchstart: 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

St Patricks Athletic (Hemma)

Prognos 49.57%2.02rättvist odds
EV -3.34%
Fördel -1.71%
Kelly -3.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.32%49.60%49.64%52.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.731.831.851.9557.80%54.61%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Dundalk (Borta)

Prognos 22.28%4.49rättvist odds
EV -1.96%
Fördel -0.445%
Kelly -0.576%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.92%22.31%22.18%23.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.704.154.204.4027.03%24.10%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.15%3.55rättvist odds
EV -3.73%
Fördel -1.09%
Kelly -1.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.85%28.08%28.18%28.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.023.293.303.4233.11%30.37%30.30%29.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: St Patricks Athletic (Hemma): 49.57%; Dundalk (Borta): 22.28%; Oavgjort: 28.15%. För Dundalk (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.49. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.40, med väntevärdet -1.96%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 19:34
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.73%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.53%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:39
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -7.67%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:39
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:39
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:39
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:34
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:39
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.80%E -4.20%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:39
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:34
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.65%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:39
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.58%EV -11.77%E -6.61%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -16.44%E -4.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.58%EV -12.76%E -7.25%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.31%EV -14.99%E -4.96%K -7.42%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-27 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.16%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:04
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-02-27 19:39