L’École des cotes

St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 49.57%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.32%49.60%49.64%52.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.851.9557.80%54.61%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.28%4.49cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.445%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%22.31%22.18%23.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.154.204.4027.03%24.10%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.15%3.55cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.85%28.08%28.18%28.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.023.293.303.4233.11%30.37%30.30%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 19:34
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.73%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:40
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.53%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:39
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:39
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -7.67%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:35
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:39
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -9.76%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:39
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:39
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:39
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:38
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 19:40
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:39
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.80%E -4.20%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:39
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:34
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -15.33%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.65%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:38
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:39
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.58%EV -11.77%E -6.61%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -16.44%E -4.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:05
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.96%E -0.445%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 48.58%EV -12.76%E -7.25%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -17.56%E -4.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.31%EV -14.99%E -4.96%K -7.42%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-27 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.16%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -3.07%E -0.706%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:04
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -13.26%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.10%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-02-27 19:39
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-02-27 19:39