The School of Odds

St Patricks Athletic v Derry City

2026-08-02 16:00 UTC — League of Ireland

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Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prediction 51.53%1.94fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.557%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.01%50.96%51.53%52.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.831.831.9260%55%55%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Derry City (Visit)

Prediction 22.15%4.51fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.06%22.35%22.15%23.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.753.983.904.3627%25%26%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.470%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.46%26.69%26.32%28.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.253.7532%30%31%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -1.07%E -0.557%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -14.71%E -3.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -15.77%E -4.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -3.65%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.71%E -3.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -15.77%E -4.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:30
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -3.65%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.71%E -3.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -15.77%E -4.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:30
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.29%E -0.345%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:55
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -16.93%E -4.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -18.40%E -5.94%K -8.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-24 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:55
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.93%EV -8.28%E -4.65%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.61%EV -3.42%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -2.61%E -0.705%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 23:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.28%E -4.65%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.64%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 23:55
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.28%E -4.65%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.64%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 23:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 23:54
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -4.08%E -0.942%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 23:54
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.39%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 23:54
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-24 23:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -16.93%E -4.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-24 23:54
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.41%E -7.30%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -13.61%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-24 23:55
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.41%EV -13.44%E -8.00%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -11.39%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -15.77%E -4.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-24 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.98%EV -14.47%E -8.71%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.57%EV -16.93%E -4.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -15.77%E -4.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-25 00:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.