Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%56.51%56.67%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.95%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 18.04%5.54fair odd
EV +0.129%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.27%18.16%18.01%19.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.924.805.5522.22%20.34%20.83%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.29%3.95fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%25.33%25.33%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.553.503.8029.85%28.16%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 56.67%; Derry City (Visit): 18.04%; Draw: 25.29%. For Derry City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.129%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.38%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +0.129%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.35%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.11%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.44%EV -3.12%E -0.581%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -6.92%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 15:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.91%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.19%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.50%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.53%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -10.47%E -6.62%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.69%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.88%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -15.21%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -12.74%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.40%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -18.81%E -4.18%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
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