Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St Patricks Athletic v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC

Score final : St Patricks Athletic 1–1 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 56.67%1.76cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.23%56.51%56.67%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.95%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.04%5.54cote équitable
EV +0.129%
Avantage +0.023%
Kelly +0.028%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.27%18.16%18.01%19.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.924.805.5522.22%20.34%20.83%18.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.29%3.95cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.58%25.33%25.33%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.553.503.8029.85%28.16%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : St Patricks Athletic (Local) : 56.67% ; Derry City (Visiteur) : 18.04% ; Match nul : 25.29%. Pour Derry City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.54. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.55, soit une espérance positive de +0.129%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.38%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +0.129%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.35%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 15:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.11%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.44%EV -3.12%E -0.581%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -6.92%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:23
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 15:29
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.91%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.19%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:25
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:24
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:54
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:55
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 15:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.50%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 15:54
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.53%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 15:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 15:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -10.47%E -6.62%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 15:24
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.69%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 15:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.88%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -15.21%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -12.74%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.40%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -18.81%E -4.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50