Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Patricks Athletic v Derry City

Início: 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 1–1 Derry City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Previsão 56.67%1.76odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%56.51%56.67%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.95%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Derry City (Visitante)

Previsão 18.04%5.54odd justa
EV +0.129%
Vantagem +0.023%
Kelly +0.028%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.27%18.16%18.01%19.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.924.805.5522.22%20.34%20.83%18.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.29%3.95odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.58%25.33%25.33%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.553.503.8029.85%28.16%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 56.67%; Derry City (Visitante): 18.04%; Empate: 25.29%. Para Derry City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.54. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.129%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.38%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +0.129%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.35%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 15:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.11%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.44%EV -3.12%E -0.581%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -6.92%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:23
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 15:29
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.91%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.19%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:25
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 15:24
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:54
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:55
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 15:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.50%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 15:54
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.53%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 15:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 15:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -10.47%E -6.62%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 15:24
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.69%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 15:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.88%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -15.21%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -12.74%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.40%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -18.81%E -4.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 12:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-02 15:50