Idioma:Español
St Patricks Athletic v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Predicción 56.67%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -5.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.23%56.51%56.67%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.95%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 18.04%5.54momio equitativo
EV +0.129%
Ventaja +0.023%
Kelly +0.028%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.27%18.16%18.01%19.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.924.805.5522.22%20.34%20.83%18.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.29%3.95momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.58%25.33%25.33%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.553.503.8029.85%28.16%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 56.67%; Derry City (Visitante): 18.04%; Empate: 25.29%. Para Derry City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.54. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.129%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.38%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +0.129%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.35%EV -4.39%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.11%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.44%EV -3.12%E -0.581%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -6.92%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.38%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 15:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -5.28%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.91%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.19%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.09%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.68%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.57%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.79%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.50%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.53%EV -12.50%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -10.47%E -6.62%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.69%EV -11.03%E -7.03%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -13.40%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.95%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.88%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.30%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.21%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -15.21%E -3.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -12.74%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.01%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.48%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.40%EV -8.77%E -5.45%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -18.81%E -4.18%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.27%E -4.56%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |